The easiest bets in sports today?
Even when I'm in Vegas, I generally don't bet on sports -- especially college sports, since we're dealing with the whims of guys who are between 18 and 23 years old.
Please, please don't construe this as betting advice, but I couldn't help but notice the lines on tonight's games involving the two Washington schools. The Huskies are only laying 1 at Arizona, and the Cougs are getting a whopping 11 in Tempe.
I know the Vegas lines are designed to get half of the betting on either side, so I'm sure at least some of this is perception. People still think Arizona is good because of its name, and people still don't know a lot about Washington. But if you believe the Huskies will win -- as I do -- then you have to believe they'll win by more than one. Even Pomeroy thinks so, predicting a 73-70 win with 60 percent confidence.
As for the Cougs, getting 11 in a mid-50s possession game is a lot, especially between a pair of teams that have a history the last couple of years of coming down to the wire. Pomeroy predicts a 56-46 win for ASU, but I think that discounts the recent strides the offense made. I don't see a double-digit loss for this team, do you?
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I don't see a ten point loss at all
There just won’t be enough possessions!
by Dancing Football on Jan 29, 2009 10:21 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
Look at it this way-
What have we done against the four toughest non-conference teams and against the pac-10 teams that are 5-2 or better? In other words, Good teams.
In 5 out of 7 games, we have lost by 12 or more. Given that we are on the road, against the #14 team, and given that more people will naturally bet the name of AZ St, I don’t think it is crazy at all.
But, as you mentioned, Nuss, that we are not the same team that had some of those serious late game meltdowns. Given that, we could easily cover. Its a tough one for me, which is why I don’t bet… on thursdays.
by peaty411s on Jan 29, 2009 11:20 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
I don't get the UW line, though
2-5 AZ and 6-1 UW?
by peaty411s on Jan 29, 2009 2:35 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Perception is everything with lines
It’s the public money — people who still think Arizona is good.
by Jeff Nusser on Jan 29, 2009 2:45 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Thanks
Just when somebody convinces you to put money on the Dawgs, you lose it.
by honkytonkman on Jan 30, 2009 1:19 PM PST reply actions 0 recs

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