PLAYER PROFILE: Abe Lodwick
Scouting report: One of the things you may remember about the previous coaching era was Tony Bennett's penchant for finding tall, skinny dudes who can flat out shoot. Abe Lodwick is that kind of player. Lodwick turned heads before he was even eligible to play; as a true freshman Lodwick used his picture-perfect form to drain threes from just about any location in shootaround before the games. Lodwick wouldn't play that season - he redshirted - but hopes were high for him going into 2008-09 as a perimeter shooter with the opportunity to take some of the pressure off Taylor Rochestie and Klay Thompson.
Did he do it? No. Lodwick and fellow towering perimeter-shooting specialist Daven Harmeling simultaneously struggled mightily and faded into the background. Have a look at the numbers, compiled over a meager 6.3 minutes per game.
At first glance... well, really at any glance, these stats are awful. 10.7 3pt% from a three-point shooting specialist? That's enough to drive everyone away from the Abe Lodwick Fan Club I was intent on founding. And it's a shame, too, because we could've worn Abe Lincoln hats to the games and fake beards to match. It would've been so cool.
So what happened? Was I just flat out wrong thinking that Lodwick had a future as a shooter and contributor off the bench?
Two responses: First, I'm never wrong. That goes without saying. Second, I think I have an explanation for why Lodwick was just so spotty with his shooting last season. Take a look at his game log from a pretty representative five game stretch last season:
vs. Pitt: 1 min, 0/1 FG, 0/1 3pt
vs. Idaho State: 6 min, 0/3 FG, 0/1 3pt
vs. Baylor: 3 min, 0/1 FG, 0/1 3pt
vs. Gonzaga: 7 min, 0/2, 0/1 3pt
vs. Montana State: 2 min, 0/0 FG, 0/0 3pt
Wow, that's a lot of zeros, you may be thinking. Yes, but remember that shooters need to get in rhythm. They need attempts, especially from behind the arc, where you're doing well if 2 out of every 5 hit the bottom of the net. If you're a shooting specialist, and I throw you in the game for 5 minutes, and let you take one or two shots before I pull the plug and sit you back on the bench, do you really have a chance to get in rhythm? Doubtful. Tony Bennett would bring in Abe off the bench, let him shoot a three or two, and then when he missed it put him back on the pine. Not exactly the best way to instill confidence in a redshirt freshman.
Maybe it's the adjustment to the speed of the Pac-10 game that threw him off. Maybe it's the lack of meaningful open opportunities provided by his teammates. Maybe - and it kills me to say it - he's just not that great of a shooter.
It's just that I doubt it. I still believe Abe Lodwick can have an impact for the 2009-2010 Cougars.
Best Case Scenario: Under Ken Bone's quickened offense, and with the green light to shoot given more often than under Bennett, Abe lights it up. He comes off the bench to the a Josh Akognon-style three-point threat, and takes a good deal of pressure off Klay Thompson, Reggie Moore and Xavier Thames at the guard positions. Abe also shows off his underrated ability to rebound, giving him the versatility to play the 3 and possibly even the 4 in a smaller lineup. Abe tops 40% from distance, scores 8.9 points per game and has us daydreaming of what he could provide for us in the future.
Worst Case Scenario: 2009-10 Abe Lodwick is 2008-09 Abe Lodwick.
Likely Scenario: Is Klay struggling to find his shooting stroke? Are the Cougs missing threes and falling behind? Are we lacking height in a three-guard lineup? Then Abe Lodwick is your man off the bench, able to provide some decent production just as long as Ken Bone is actually willing to play him in longer stretches and give him 4 to 5 shot attempts instead of the 1 to 2 Tony gave him. Lodwick is likely around a 5 point per game contributor, and shoots threes somewhere in the thirty to forty percent range. Abe can shoot well from inside the arc as well, and provide the occasional putback off an offensive rebound. If the Cougs need some life out of their shooting game, Lodwick is a worthwhile option. And with Ken Bone's looser system, he may turn out to be a perfect role player for his new coach.
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Comments
Another related point about his shooting
is that shooters need confidence. By the looks of the minutes that you showed, Lodwick knew he was on a very short leash. When you are looking over your shoulder because you are worried about missing a shot and being immediately taken out, confidence is not high. And for a shooter, confidence is everything.
by Coug1990 on Oct 28, 2009 10:25 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
He'll get his chance
Bone loves — LOVES — to have his players shoot the 3. It’s part of his offensive philosophy. Last year’s PSU team was an extreme case, but if he’s got the shooters, he prefers to have them chuck it up with a frequency we have never seen in Pullman.
by Nuss on Oct 28, 2009 11:33 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
And Abe is a shooter
Most haven’t seen it yet, though. If you’ve seen him come out and run through drills you’d know. If he can translate that to the court you’re going to see him light it up. At some point the shots will fall and it’s going to snowball from there I think. He’s got the stroke and now he needs the results
by cougfan on Oct 29, 2009 12:54 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
this was also one of my concerns about this year
Bone’s adoration of the 3-ball….and the lack of players we have that can hit it.
by BigWood on Oct 29, 2009 6:14 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
If you look at his track record
Not all of his teams have chucked it up with impunity. In fact, his first two teams were decidedly average (right around 170 nationally) in 3PA/FGA. For comparison’s sake, the 07-08 Sweet 16 team was ranked 174th.
I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again: Bone is an excellent coach who will coach the team that he’s got to its strengths. Yes, he’s going to recruit guys who fit the style he wants to play, but if he doesn’t have them right away, he’s not going to try to fit a square peg into a round hole.
by Nuss on Oct 29, 2009 8:21 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
But to take a little bit of umbrage with your previous statement
He does have Klay, Abe and Harthun. Ideally, he’d like to have about five guys he could rotate in at any given time who can shoot it from long range, but I think those three are going to be a good place to start. Plus, he’ll have Patrick Simon coming in next year.
If you’re still worried, take heart in this: One thing he’s been hammering Klay about is being more aggressive getting to the basket and not settling for jumpers. That’s a great thing.
by Nuss on Oct 29, 2009 8:32 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
No Poll, WHY!!??
Lol I love polls.
I’m giving everyone I’ve been down on offensively (Nik, Abe, Marcus) the benefit of the doubt this year, because we don’t really know what Bone is going to do to our team. We can guess, and it’s all part of the fun, but I think BigWood has as much justification for his doubts as Nuss does for his optimism.
I hope Abe gets a lot of minutes in our relatively soft non-con schedule to show what he can do. If he shows that he has the strength to play the 4 he could be a tricky guy to defend, with an inside-and-out game. I’d kind of rather see that than him try to play against the quick guards we have in this conference.
by johnnycougar on Oct 29, 2009 9:38 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs

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