EDIT NUSS: This is a fantastically thorough and comprehensive look at just what the heck happened with our recruiting during those last Doba years that has left the program so talent poor. It really is astounding. I bumped it to the front page because it's that good. Enjoy.
Some folks have downplayed the effect past recruiting has had on our current roster. Kids that were recruited from 04 to 09 are the players that should be giving us our stars, our starters and our depth. The vast majority of our playing time right now is made up of 08 and 09 recruits, so I'll leave them out of the picture, so we can focus on the classes Wulff inherited, which is where his biggest contributors should be coming from.
I figured I'd do some research and share it to see "What happened to our depth?" As I looked at the numbers, it became incredibly illuminating to look at this information. We've heard it was bad, but I doubt you know exactly how bad. You will.
Disclaimer: While scouting service rankings are inherently flawed, we'll use them because the information is easily available, and should help illustrate a pattern, even if the numbers aren't perfect. So let's look at the rankings Scout.com has given our recruits over that stretch of time, both nationally, and in the Pac10.
Year - Nat Rank - Pac10 Rank
2004 - 21 - 3
2005 - 47 - 8
2006 - 45 - 9
2007 - 54 - 10
2008 - 74 - 10
2009 - 43 - 7
We'll see who the players were that make up those rankings, and how much they've contributed after the jump. Buckle up, it's a long one.
Position - Name - Star Rating - Year Left Roster - Team Impact
Class of 2004
21st Nationally, 3rd in the Pac 10
Of the 25 signees, 20 made it to campus, and only 15 didn't flunk out, transfer or drop out due to injury 2 years later. In fact, only 11 players remained for the 2007 season... 56% attrition (including graduation) in 2 years. Only 4 players were left on the squad that Wulff took over, none are on the current team. I've striked out the players that never showed up, or never contributed and were gone within 2 years. I've bolded the players still on the squad with Wulff.
WR - 4*- Michael Bumpus - 2007 - Played 4 years as a big impact player
DB - 4* - Randy Estes - Never made it to campus
CB - 4* - Tyrone Brackenridge - 2006 - JC transfer, played 2004 and 2006 as a big impact player
RB - 4* - Jerome Harrison - 2005 - JC transfer, played 2004 and 2005 as a big impact player
OL - 3* - Jacob McKinney - 2007 - RS'd, then on the roster 3 years, little impact
QB - 3* - Gary Rogers - 2008 - On the roster 5 years, injured senior season
OL - 3* - Andy Roof - 2006 - RS'd in 04, nagging injuries in 05 and 06, suspended in 07, expelled in 08
RB - 3* - J.T. Diederichs - Never made it to campus
DL - 3* - Matt Eichelberger - 2008 - Contributed on 2 deeps
TE - 3* - Jed Collins - 2007 - Played 4 years as an impact player
LB - 3* - Alex Hamill - 2007 - Lots of injuries. Played some special teams, never cracked 2 deep.
OL - 3* - Dan Rowlands - 2008 - Solid contributor 3 years
DE - 3*- Jason Roberts - 2005 - RS'd then transferred to Fresno State
RB - 3*- Ian Bell - 2007 - never cracked 3 deep
DE - 3* -Latrell Meyers - Never made it to campus
K - 2* - Loren Langley - 2007 - Struggled with injuries, 1st string kicker
DE - 2* -Lawrence Ball - Never made it to campus OL - 2* -Colin Donovan - 2006 - Done in by injuries, never cracked 2 deep. TE - 2* -Bryan Baird - 2006 - Done in by injuries, never cracked 2 deep. OL - 2* -Eddie Vickers - 2005 - Flunked out WR - 2*-Charles Dillon - Went JC route, resigned in 06 LB - 2* - Steffan Blume - 2005 - No info available
DE - 2* - Mike Graise - 2008 - 4 year contributor
LB - 2* - Tyson Kirksey - Never made it to campus
WR - 1* -Greg Prator - 2005 - JC transfer, contributed 2 years.
Class of 2005
47th Nationally, 8th in the Pac 10
Of 24 signees, 20 (eventually) made it to campus. 12 made it past their first year, and ended up playing under Wulff. 50% attrition in 2 years. (53% of the players in the 2004 and 2005 classes are no longer with the team by the time Wulff takes over.) 5 players on the CURRENT team, 3, sometimes 4 are among the starters. I'll bold and italicize players on the 09 squad from here out.
QB - 4* - Arkelon Hall - 2006 - RS'd then flunked out, transferred to JC. Plays for Memphis.
DL - 4* - Fevaea'i Ahmu - 2008 - Played 4 years - Solid contributor
DL - 4* - Bryan Tarkington - initially failed to qualify, then came in the 06 class, played 1 year before flunking out
DB - 3* - Shelton Danzy - qualified, but left before playing
DB - 3* - Xavier Hicks - RS'd, played 4 years -Solid contributor
OL - 3* - Kenny Alfred - RS'd, played 4 years - Solid contributor
WR - 3*- Brandon Gibson - 2008 - played 4 years - Impact player
WR - 3* -Lorenzo Bursey - 2005 - RS'd then transferred DB - 3* - DeWayne Patterson - 2005 - played 1 year then flunked out DB - 2* - James Bradley - Failed to qualify
QB - 2* - Cole Morgan - 2007 - Never cracked 2 deep, transferred to WWU
DL - 2* - Joseph Townsend - Failed to qualify DB - 2* - Lamar Brumfield - 2005 - RS'd then transferred
WR - 2* -Michael Willis - 2008 - Minimal impact 3 years, kicked off team before 2009 season
LB - 2* - Cory Evans - 2008 - Solid contributor 4 years
RB - 2* - Dwight Tardy - Current starting RB
RB - 2* - DeMaundray Woolridge - 2006 - Played some as FR, then flunked out, now at Idaho
WR - 2* -Benny Ward - 2008 - Played 4 years, no impact
LB - 2* - Jason Stripling - On current 2 deep
LB - 2* - Greg Trent - 2008 - Played 4 years, solid contributor
WR - 2* -Greg Walker - 2008 - No impact 3 years, no longer with team
DB - 2* - Courtney Williams - 2006 - Played some special teams as FR, then flunked out. DB - 2* - Nehemiah Mundy - Never made it to campus OL - 2* - Derek Hunter - 2006 - one year, flunked out.
Class of 2006
45th Nationally, 9th in Pac 10
24 commits, 21 made it to campus, 16 played at some point, 9 players remained after 2 years. 7 players are on the current team, 12, including class of 05. 61% attrition in two years. 52% of commits from previous 3 years are NOT with the team by the time Wulff coaches his first game.
LB - 4* - Andy Mattingly - Played 4 years, current impact player
WR- 4* -Charles Dillon - 2007 - JC transfer - played 2 years, impact player
RB - 3* - J.T. Diederichs - Never made it to campus
WR - 3* -Anthony Houston - RS'd hasn't made an impact, recently switched to DB
TE - 3* - Trevor Mooney - 2007 -RS'd, played one year and left the program
DL - 3* - Toby Turpin - RS'd, current contributor
RB - 3* - Skylar Jessen - 2007 - RS'd, medical problems forced early retirement
RB - 3* - Marcus Richmond - RS'd, currently with team, plays paringly, little impact
WR - 3* -Keith Parr, Jr. - 2008 - RS'd, injuries limited playing time, transferred to BSU
OL - 3* - Grady Maxwell - 2007 - RS'd, medical problems forced early retirement
RB - 3* - Derrell Hutsona - 2007 - Played two years as backup RB and KOR
WR - 3* -Finas Rabb - 2007 - Played two years as backup WR
DB - 3* - B.T. Walker - 2007 - Played two years as backup DB and PR
DL - 2* - Kevin Kooyman - RS'd, current contributor
DL - 2* - Preston Brooks - 2006 - RS'd, left the team DL - 2* - Asly Jean-Jaques -2007 - RS'd, left the team DB - 2* - Kerry Maddox - 2005 - Left team in first year due to family illness OL - 2* - Chris Bush - Never made it to campus
RB - 2* - Chris Ivory - 2008 - Played 3 years, kicked off team due to violation of team rules
OL - 2* - Joe Eppele - On current 2 deep as a backup
OL - 2* - Micah Hannam - Starter on current team
WR - 2* -Greg Walker - 2007 - RS'd, played some special teams, transferred
TE - 2* - Jason Price - Never made it to campus
DB - 2* - Brian Williams - 2007 - JC transfer, contributed two years.
54th Nationally, 10th in Pac 10
28 commits, 25 made it to campus, 15 players still with team after 2 years, 27 including previous classes. 40 % attrition by this season from 2007,
DB - 5* - Terry Mixon - Injured, quit team during first fall camp
RB - 3* - Logwone Mitz - solid current contributor
OL - 3* - Steven Ayers - current contributor sometimes starter, hampered by injuries
QB - 3* - Kevin Lopina - started most of 2008, current backup QB
OL - 3* - Andrew Roxas - current contributor, redshirting 2009 due to illness
DB - 3* - Romeo Pellum - 2008 - played 2 years, kicked off team for disciplinary reasons
DB - 3* - Eric Block - currently with team, hampered by medical condition
LB - 3* - Deon Ford - RS'd, sat out 2008 with injury, no significant contribution
WR - 3* -Jeshua Anderson - 2008 - contributed in 07 and 08, quit during 09 season to focus on track
DB - 3* - Cornorris Atkins - never made it to campus
TE - 3* - Devin Frischknecht - 2008 - JC transfer significant contributor in 07 and 08
DL - 3* - Jesse Feagin - JC transfer, RS'd, current contributor
OL - 3* - Vaughn Lesuma - 2008 - JC transfer, significant contributor in 07 and 08
LB - 2* - Marshal Pirtz - 2008 - RS'd, no significant contribution, transferred to Idaho
LB - 2* - Halston Higgins - RS'd, current contributor
OL - 2* - B.J. Guerra - RS'd, current starter, hampered by injuries
OL - 2* - Kevin Freitag - RS'd, not listed on 2 deeps
QB - 2* - J.T. Levenseller - 2008 - Played in a few games during 08 season, transferred to Eastern.
QB - 2* - Marshall Lobbestael - RS'd, current backup QB
WR - 2* -Daniel Blackledge - Current contributor on 2 deep
DB - 2* - Aire Justin - Current starter at CB
DB - 2* - Chima Nwachukwu - Current starter at S
DL - 2* - Oga Fuamui - never made it to campus, currently at Idaho LB - 2* - Wyman Alexander - never made it to campus
DB - 2* - Devin Giles - 2008 - played 2 years, kicked off team for discipline before 09 season
OL - 1* - Reed Lesuma - currently on team, not listed on 2 deeps
LB - 1* - Kendrick Dunn - 2008 - played 2 years as solid contributor
DB - 1* - Alfonso Jackson - 2008 - played 2 years as solid contributor
Summary of 08 and 09 classes
The class of 08 was thrown together in a very short window, and was ranked 74th nationally, 10th in the Pac 10 with 26 players. 1 of those players never made it to campus. 2 left after 1 year, and a 3rd's career was ended by injury (Mackay). One is suspended for the season, and 3 others have had season ending injuries. There were 6 JC players in this class. That leaves 19 from this class to contribute in 2009.
The class of 09 was one of our more highly rated classes, and has generated a lot of excitement. It was ranked 43rd nationally, and 7th in the Pac 10. Of the 23 players signed, 2 never made it to campus, 1 left immediately after getting here and 3 are grayshirting, 12 are redshirting leaving 5 to contribute from this class in 2009.
There's also Hoffman-Ellis, Montgomery and Jones who transferred in without signing and have contributed this season.
Out of the 75 total scholarship athletes (we've only got 75 of 85 possible due to APR issues and attrition), 27 are Doba holdovers. 64% of our current players are from the 08 and 09 recruiting classes. More than half of Doba's 36% (15) come from Doba's lowest rated class in 2007. That leaves 12 from better rated classes in 05 and 06, and 5 from the higher rated class of 09, meaning we have 17 players from our "higher" ranked classes on the field this season.
More evidence to support the argument that the talent is JUST NOT ON THE FIELD.