If we've established anything through this bracket challenge, it's this: Being good at analysis does not make you good at prognostication. My bracket is still in dead last after three rounds, and although it has the potential to get into the middle of the pack if I get all three of my remaining Final Four teams correct, I'm still nowhere near the lead.
However, IF I get every remaining pick correct, I actually win this thing believe it or not. (The Yahoo! scenario generator says so. I encourage playing around with that thing.)
But I don't expect that. Let's establish what I don't know:
- I thought North Carolina was ripe for an upset somewhere along the line. Boy, was that dumb. They are clicking and running on all cylinders at the moment.
- I thought Gonzaga's defense really was improved. Boy, was that even dumber: Three games in the tournament, three games of 108 defensive efficiency or greater, each one bigger than the last, culminating with last night's 125.4. Screw you, Mark Few -- I hope you go to Oregon or Arizona, because you will be completely overmatched.
- I thought Michigan State was a product of a mediocre Big Ten, thinking the Spartans probably didn't have enough offense to get past USC and go deep. Guess I was wrong about that, too.
- I thought Missouri was a product of a mediocre Big 12 -- the same Big 12 which now has two teams in the Elite Eight. Losses to Kansas (by 25) and Texas A&M in which they played atrocious defense had me skeptical. I believe, OK? Unlike Few, I just hope Arizona is not interested in Mike Anderson. I do not want to see that in Tucson.
- I thought Pittsburgh was going to be the national champion. Only a horrific decision by Lavance Fields that turned out OK has kept them in this tournament, and I'm pretty sure they're going to lose to Villanova today.
But then again, the way this tournament has gone for me, because I think they're going to lose today, it probably means they're going to win.
You know who doesn't suck? 02Coug, who soared into the lead with a perfect 8-for-8 Sweet 16, narrowly edging past Pman and LeaveItToWeaver -- who, incidentally, took seventh last year in the WSU Hoops bracket challenge. Maybe I should start consulting him? What do you think, Mikey?
|4||From Way Downtown||North Carolina||75||163|
|20||Bracket Pick Graveyard||Connecticut||67||163|
|20||Taylor Rochestie's Scholarship||Connecticut||67||163|
|20||Saved by Capers||North Carolina||67||163|
|20||SW WA Coug||Pittsburgh||67||147|
|20||WSU Tru Coug||North Carolina||67||139|