How does the Pac-12 sound to you?
Intrepid San Jose Mercury News reporter Jon Wilner -- who's been a guest on both the CougCenter Podcast and on 18 And Life -- caught up with Pac-10 commissioner Larry Scott today, and he had some interesting comments that I think Pac-10 fans really ought to pay attention to.
The conference hired Kevin Weiberg as its chief operating officer (translated: second in command) today, and here's what he had to say to Wilner about it:
"He has a very diverse and successful track record. In particular, in his experience as the Big 12 commissioner and an executive with the Big Ten Network, he has dealt with some of the most complicated issues — from expansion to TV networks to media rights in general."
Whoa, whoa, whoa ... expansion?
"We’re looking at it very seriously. It wasn’t something identified for me by the presidents when I took the job. But it’s very natural as you look at the value of the conference from a media standpoint. If we were ever going to look at expansion, this would be the logical time."
There are a lot of reasons why the conference would look at expansion right now, but there are really two overrideing factors:
- Adding two more teams would give the conference added leverage as it attempts to negotiate better television contracts (the current deals expire at the end of 2011-12).
- With the Big Ten actively seeking to expand, the domino effect and upheaval that comes from them raiding another conference would probably make it more likely for a school to leave its current conference affiliation for the Pac-10.
I don't know enough about the ins and outs of any potential 12-team revenue structure to know just how much it would add to the conference. But I'm smart enough to know that the conference would have to exponentially increase its total revenue to make adding two more schools worth it, since dividing the pool by 12 makes the shares smaller than if dividing by 10. (Like I said -- smrt!)
Count me among those fundamentally opposed to expansion, mostly for this reason: The only benefit gained by adding two more schools to the conference is to increase football revenue. I understand football drives the money-making bus in the world of college athletics, through both television contracts and bowl games, but such a move does nothing to enhance the conference in any other meaningful way. Without getting into the long, drawn-out, self-righteous, moralistic reasons for my opposition, I'll just leave it at this: It would undeniably detract from just about everything I love about the set-up of our conference, both in football and in every other sport.
Essentially, you'd be selling your soul to appease a football system that might not be around in 10 years, anyway. And I think that's pretty dumb, especially when I'm not convinced that adding two teams is going to increase the value of the product enough to offset the loss of what makes the Pac-10 unique.
I'd like to hope that there would be another way to significantly increase conference revenue without going this route. However, I fear it's inevitable. Time marches on, and sentimentality won't stand in the way of money.
Just ask the NCAA and its 96-team basketball tournament.
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Adding BYU/UTAH would make a really great super league and retain the natural pairing of intra-state rivalries that makes the Pac-10 so great. However, it makes no sense from a revenue standpoint so i doubt it even gets considderation. Hence, Im with you. Don’t even bother with this expansion stuff. Now a better TV deal, or a Pac-10 network? that is something i could get excited about.
by LongballWSUFB on Feb 8, 2010 7:38 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
I don't ever see it being BYU/Utah
Mostly because I don’t think BYU fits as an institution with the other schools. I could see Utah/Colorado. They’re not that far apart and could be reasonable travel partners, as Denver and Salt Lake City are pretty easy to get in and out of (weather permitting).
by Jeff Nusser on Feb 8, 2010 7:51 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Correct
BYU is not the same academic school like the rest of the Pac-10. CU and Utah are really an hour plane ride away just not driving distance (8 hours)
by Jeremy Mauss on Feb 8, 2010 7:58 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
In other words, it's basically like the UW/WSU trip
by Jeff Nusser on Feb 8, 2010 8:04 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Schools are about 300 miles apart, but you've got to go over mountains.
Everyone flies between the two.
by Jeff Nusser on Feb 8, 2010 8:07 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Make no mistake.
BYU is an EXTREMELY fine institution.
I just don’t thin their… special… institutional differences are enough to deter the ideal goal of regional rivals.
by Yarmarkt on Feb 9, 2010 11:45 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Denver and SLC isn't too bad
Are they any further away then Seattle and Pullman?
--Conquest Chronicles, SBNation's USC Trojans blog
by Joey Kaufman on Feb 10, 2010 1:22 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
A peripheral benefit of expansion
Would be doing away with the 9 and 18 game schedules for football and basketball respectively. Those extra games really cause us to beat each other up and hurt our postseason chances.
by thecassino on Feb 8, 2010 7:45 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Which says more about the stupidity of the system that rewards wins above all else
Than it does about the 9/18 game schedule.
by Jeff Nusser on Feb 8, 2010 7:50 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Agreed
If the extra games didn’t hurt us Id have no problem with them. But within the system they put us at a competitive disadvantage to every other conference in football, and all but the Big-10 and Big East in basketball. Kinda frustrating.
by thecassino on Feb 8, 2010 7:58 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
It might just be pissing in the wind on my part
However, I hold out hope that eventually the BCS system will go away and teams will stop being rewarded for loading up on patsies.
by Jeff Nusser on Feb 8, 2010 8:02 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Well,
So long as the SEC gets rewarded for playing the ‘best teams in the nation’ in conference and absolutely nobody out of conference, that won’t happen.
by spencer peaty on Feb 8, 2010 8:06 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
That's my point
If the system changes, which I eventually think it will, it doesn’t make sense to fit our conference to a system that will eventually be obsolete. I’d like to see us be more forward thinking than that.
by Jeff Nusser on Feb 8, 2010 8:08 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Am I alone in thinking
that even if we get a playoff, there will be a BCS system that decides the X amount of teams that get in? I hate the BCS not because of how it ranks teams, but because of the very nature of the system (no playoff).
by spencer peaty on Feb 8, 2010 8:27 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
The NCAA has selection committees for all the other sports.
Maybe they would have one for football too.
CougCenter WSU's second main blog
by Dancing Football on Feb 8, 2010 8:43 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
In a dream world
We would know that the BCS would go away, making our system not such a disadvantage. The reality is that we have no guarantee if/when it will go away and what it would be replaced with. Sure, maybe a playoff. Or maybe something that makes less sense then the BCS system.
As much as we think of the Pac 10 as an institution that is infallible and based on tradition, it is only 32 years ago that we went from the Pac 8 to the Pac 10. Since expansion is a part of college sports at this point, it might be forced upon us.
by 02Coug on Feb 8, 2010 8:13 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
"a system that rewards wins above all else"?
… what else should be rewarded?
Damn, my eyeball tastes good.
by Gekko Mojo on Feb 8, 2010 10:55 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Wins not over weak teams
Like the SEC that schedules weak teams in non-conf and has an arguably easier conference slate (see: Florida’s schedule). Also, having a true conference slate where you have to prove you’re king of the hill instead of selective conference scheduling.
by cougfan on Feb 8, 2010 11:03 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
It does not put the Pac-10 at a disadvantage in basketball
Indeed, despite the reluctance of certain coaches to realize this fact (perhaps motivated by the fact that winning a lot of games in front of home crowds helps with popularity/job retention), playing more creampuffs actually hurts your chances of making the NCAA Tournament.
Do not confuse football and basketball. If the BCS had a selection committee that operated on the same principles as the basketball committee, having a 9-game conference schedule would be a good thing, not a bad thing.
Shawn Spencer: "I’m receiving a transmission from your husband. Really more of a voicemail, if I'm being honest. A status update. Perhaps a twitter."
Burton Guster: "I believe it’s called a tweet."
Shawn Spencer: "There’s no way I’m saying that."
by PaulThomas on Feb 9, 2010 8:36 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Except for years like this one, when more conference games probably hurts
I think if the league perception is that everyone is mediocre, more out of conference wins against just about anyone would be great. Especially if the teams spread it around, so that everyone played some teams from different leagues. Wouldn’t you also agree that in bball dropping a couple conference games would allow for another higher profile matchup? I don’t know if the teams would actually pursue that route rather than another few cupcakes, but at least we’d have more flexibility in scheduling that theoretically could allow for better non-con games.
by johnnycougar on Feb 9, 2010 8:54 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Of course it hurts in basketball
As compared to a 16 game schedule, the Pac-10 is guaranteed (if my math is right, and Im not real confident it is) 10 additional losses as a conference. If those games become out of conference matchups there’s at least a chance of them being victories.
by thecassino on Feb 9, 2010 10:04 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
It's sort of a different subject, but theoretically the committee doesn't use raw W-L numbers to determine the field
Considering SOS and RPI, losing on the road to Arizona might be viewed better than beating Louisiana Tech at home, at least most years.
by johnnycougar on Feb 9, 2010 10:08 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
2009 Arizona and USC beg to differ with your assessment that losses hurt much
As well as 2008 Arizona, 2008 Oregon and 2007 Stanford.
What matters is the strength of your schedule, and when the league is strong, it doesn’t hurt. As a Washington fan, you know firsthand what loading up on patsies in the non-conference schedule and underperforming in the conference gets you.
This just happens to be a perfect storm kind of year. Talent is down in the league, teams are down in the league, nonconference wins are down in the league … but it’s an isolated instance.
by Jeff Nusser on Feb 9, 2010 10:26 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
What?
USC got in on an auto bid and Arizona got in because of impressive nonconference wins. 2 fewer conference games = 2 more nonconfetence games which would be 2 more chances to prove your worth with no detriment to the Pac-10.
by thecassino on Feb 9, 2010 12:31 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
You're right about USC
My bad. But reducing the conference schedule doesn’t guarantee that teams will schedule two tough opponents. And what if you schedule lightly, and then the conference schedule rotation has you play a weak schedule?
I just don’t see where reducing the number of conference games is some sort of undeniable benefit. It could just as easily hurt as help.
by Jeff Nusser on Feb 9, 2010 1:17 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I am for expanding to 12 schools
As long as it is done with the right values in mind (no Boise St.). Adding two teams, while on the verge off negotiating a new TV contract could do wonders for the Pac-10. We can debate the teams worthy of expansion like Utah, BYU, Colorado, Texas, TCU, ect. But the point is, if we can get two teams in the pac-10 that have good football attendance, lots of potential TV revenue, good overall athletic standing, and good academic standing, I think the conference would be better off in the long hall.
I haven’t been on this earth very long, but I imagine this to be similar as to when the Arizona schools were added to the ‘Pac-8’. While at the time these schools probably were not as good as the 8 schools in the conference, they eventually grew to be a fundamental part of the Pac-10 contributing to the athletics in a variety of ways, and expanding the overall revenue of the conference. If expansion is looked at by inteligent people, who know what to look for, I have no doubt that it will help the Pac-12(?) in the long run.
by spencer peaty on Feb 8, 2010 7:54 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Hey, this means April Cook is the Pac-12 player of the week!
CougCenter - Cougar athletics fanaticism deepened by occasional outbursts of real analysis.
by Grady. on Feb 8, 2010 9:07 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
i'd rather not promote two teams
at least one of these teams needs to be poached from another power conference (i’m looking at you, colorado).
wsu’s primary recruiting advantage over schools like utah, byu, etc is our pac-10 membership. if we vote to promote two schools, then we lose that advantage over two schools.
by BigWood on Feb 8, 2010 9:25 PM PST reply actions 1 recs
CU/CSU?
I’m with Nuss and BigWood on this. I don’t really want to see expansion. But if it’s coming, are Colorado and Colorado State realistic options? They are obviously a natural rivalry and would fit in with the overall philosophy of the Pac-10. I think. Maybe.
by VeryOldCougFan on Feb 8, 2010 9:36 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
I think it really only is worthwhile if you're expanding into two markets.
Hence Utah/Colorado.
by Jeff Nusser on Feb 8, 2010 10:17 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Let's add Hawaii and Alaska-Fairbanks.
… Fairbanks is an awesome school. 10k students – 60% of whom are female.
Seriously – I’m kind of torn on the idea of expansion. I prefer the classic bowl system pre-BCS. However, the BCS has fundamentally changed the game. So, count me as one who is open to expansion.
Oh, and let’s not get our hopes up about a playoff. There is an economic system in place that is very well entrenched and resistant to change. Short of government penalization, I can’t see anything on the horizon that could come close to disrupting that system. Without an impetus, there will be no reform.
Damn, my eyeball tastes good.
by Gekko Mojo on Feb 8, 2010 11:03 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
The money men will keep the BCS
There’s far too much money in it and no matter the outcry, pockets are still being filled.
I think, and we may have had this discussion before with John, that we’ve got to expand for exposure. We’re stuck on the West Coast, with a crap TV deal, and little exposure beyond our own timezone. Adding teams would add markets, exposure, and would probably better the conference. If we can pick off the right teams, we would be in a much better position on the national stage, I think.
by cougfan on Feb 8, 2010 11:06 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
It's already changed a tremendous amount in the last 15 years
It’s not a stretch to think that it will change an equal amount in the next 15, and there’s only one direction for it to go …
by Jeff Nusser on Feb 8, 2010 11:48 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
let's add Hawaii and UNLV
screw markets, I want road trips.
by BigWood on Feb 9, 2010 7:30 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Just a Thought
If we were to expand to the Pac 12 (just doesn’t sound right) Wouldn’t Boise State be jumping at the bit to be one of the schools that is added.
by Rowsmasterflex on Feb 8, 2010 11:50 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
They don't have a chance
The pac-10 prides itself in being more than a football conference, or any other sports for that matter. They want research institutions and well rounded schools. Boise state is a little above your average JC.
by cougfan on Feb 8, 2010 11:52 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Exactly
Boise will nev-ah ev-ah EV-AH be in the Pac10 for that reason
by Linoleum Knife on Feb 9, 2010 12:30 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Not a fan of expansion
but I know it may happen. I would hate to lose the annual home and homes in basketball most of all and as much as it hurts in the current system, I love the round robin football schedule as well. Having 12 teams does nothing more than add a conference championship game which most likely would be in LA every year and be very lightly attended unless USC or UCLA is playing.
As for teams, I would hope they would keep with the current make up of the conference, having two teams in the same state with a natural rivalry. That is what makes the Pac-10 unique. I see it as mainly 3 options to fit this with two being way more likely than the 3rd. This would be Colorado/CSU, Utah/BYU, or a big maybe for UNLV/Nevada.
I think the Nevada schools wouldn’t really add to the TV footprint much and may not quite fit the academic standards, but it would be nice to add Las Vegas to the travel plans. Utah and BYU are often mentioned and we all know the issues with BYU. The biggest advantage here would be cutting the head off of the Mountain West before it is granted BCS status, which could really hurt the Pac-10. Now you don’t have 2 additional schools to recruit against on a level playing field, you have 10-12. I really think the most likely or desirable scenario is Colorado and CSU. They fit everything the Pac-10 is looking for. CSU has a smaller stadium and all that, but being in the Pac-10 would increase their exposure and probably help them improve all of their athletics. If there was a time to get Colorado to jump from the Big 12, it would be in the domino affect of the Big 11 expansion, especially if they rob Missouri or possibly others.
by selahcoug on Feb 9, 2010 8:30 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
The Nevada schools would bring what would become the 3rd and 5th biggest markets (Las Vegas and Reno) in the Pac-10, and would give some much-needed help to the basketball side of things.
by Nevaduck on Feb 9, 2010 10:10 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Geographically
those two make the most sense. But I think that area is already covered in the Pac-10 tv footprint so they wouldn’t likely add much. I would love to have both cities in the Pac-10 though, it would hopefully allow the tournaments to move around more.
by selahcoug on Feb 9, 2010 12:08 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Why would a conference championship game be lightly attended?
Your going to have two teams ranked in the top 15 or so going up for a shot at the BCS or National Championship. I’m not saying it will fill 90,000 seats if no LA schools are in it, but lightly attended?
by spencer peaty on Feb 9, 2010 10:32 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
But you do bring up a good point about it being in LA every year
I wonder if this would be the case. In my mind there is no reason they couldn’t do it in the NFL stadiums in the Bay Area or Seattle from time to time. But LA always seems to get the goods in the Pac-10 so who knows.
by spencer peaty on Feb 9, 2010 10:35 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
If you rotate it, there are really only three viable locations
Los Angeles (Rose Bowl), Phoenix (Cards’ stadium in Glendale) and Seattle (Qwest Field). I don’t see them ever playing it in Seattle, but I could see it getting tossed back and forth between Phoenix and LA.
Also, it will not matter one iota if it’s poorly attended. The money comes from television. Ticket sales is just gravy.
by Jeff Nusser on Feb 9, 2010 10:43 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I understand sticking to your principals but we also don't want to get left in the dust
I’m in favor if it is the best (or only!) way to get a better TV contract and / or more national exposure. I have heard the arguments that it would help us get a 2nd team into the BCS more often but I’m not sure if I agree. If all the other conferences end up with 12 and having conference championships, do we want to be the only one that doesn’t? I like having everyone play each other once but it’s not something I’m immovable about.
by johnnycougar on Feb 9, 2010 9:19 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
I think it's only a matter of time
If Va Tech ever stays consistently in the Top 5 all year and then loses to Clemson in the title game, they’d probably both get into the BCS games.
by johnnycougar on Feb 9, 2010 1:18 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I am obviously biased: CU-Utah
This adds Denver and Salt Lake City, the largest 2 western markest the PAC 10 is not already in.
A major issue is scheduling and idvision alignments. None of the existing schools are going to want to be in a division without the California schools. They can’t all be in the same division.
I have actually been playing with the issue of scheduling with this expansion. Here are some key ideas of my design:
- Break the teams into three groups of four:
**California: Califonria, Stanford, UCLA, USC- North: Oregon, Oregon State, Washington, Washington State
- South: Arizona, Arizona State, Colorado, Utah
- All teams from each group play every year, continuing current home and away series
- The California schools alternate between the Northern and Southern Division on a four year schedule, one home and away with each team in each four years
- The Northern and Southern schools also play eachother on a similar four year pattern.
This accounts for seven game for each team each year, with teams playing each team in their group every year and teams from other groups two out of four years. Adding an 8th game would up the latter number to five out of eight years.
Balancing the home and away games for each team each season and with each team over a cycle is tricky and would take sixteen years to complete one cycle. This involves breaking the four year home and away cycle (by alternating home and away for the meetings of pairs of teams). I am hoping to find such a pattern that:
- Allows all teams to visit and host a California School each year
- Staggers the team changes from the Northern Division to the Southern Division
- Guarantees all series in consecutive years alternate home and away
BCS Evolution -- Punctuating the Equilibrium - twitter
by utesfan100 on Feb 9, 2010 10:34 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
That's interesting
It may be a little over complicated though. Why not make it simple and go with two 6 team divisions. Each year, you play the 5 other teams in your division, and then half of the other division. Therefore your even playing the teams in the other division every other year, making the home/away cycle much shorter (4 years). Depending on how you divide the teams, you could assure everyone at least one California game every year.
by spencer peaty on Feb 9, 2010 10:43 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
You should post this in a FanPost.
Let’s get some discussion of it over there.
by Jeff Nusser on Feb 9, 2010 10:44 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I mentioned it
in my review of PAC 10 Expansion two weeks ago.
Consider this a preview of what I will post once I work out the details in gory detail ;)
BCS Evolution -- Punctuating the Equilibrium - twitter
by utesfan100 on Feb 9, 2010 10:48 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Maybe throw that link up in a FanShot?
I’d just like to see you get some mileage for your site out of it. I can promote it to the front page …
by Jeff Nusser on Feb 9, 2010 11:58 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Also
If this is indeed going to be forced down our throats, Utah/Colorado is a combo I can live with. I don’t think adding Utah decreases the profile of the conference in the slightest. I think talking teams such as BYU, Nevada or UNLV clearly would.
by Jeff Nusser on Feb 9, 2010 10:46 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
They have a history together
and are starting a home and away in 2012.
For non-football sports PAC 10 teams often share flights. A chartered plane could land first in Salt Lake, then take the second team to Denver for thursday games, fly the team in Denver team to Salt Lake then the team in Salt Lake team to Denver on Friday, then from Denver to Salt Lake to home after the games.
It might not be as cheap as a single flight to LA, but its not too bad, really.
BCS Evolution -- Punctuating the Equilibrium - twitter
by utesfan100 on Feb 9, 2010 10:54 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Interesting
but who plays in the championship game?
by QuackinAK on Feb 9, 2010 11:33 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Example
Suppose this is a year USC and Stanford are in the North and UCLA and California are in the South.
The previous year USC and UCLA swapped and next year Stanford and California will swap, for example.
USC would play divisional games against Stanford, WSU, Washington, Oregon and Oregon State. They would play cross over games with UCLA, California and one of the southern schools.
The winners of the Northern Schools + USC and Stanford would play the winner of the Southern schools + UCLA and California in the championship game. The two groups played a full round robin and three cross over games.
Tie Breakers:
1) PAC 10 overall record
2) Division record
3) Head to head
[only a three (ok, technically a way 5 is possible) way 7-1 or 6-2 tie remains here. Flip a coin? Why not use the Rose Bowl tie-breaker?]
4) Team having least recently participated in the championship game
[It is possible for two teams to be tied if a California team is involved in the tie and one of the other teams played eachother in the PAC 10 championship game the last time each went. The third team would not be in this tie and would win or be eliminated, with the other two being settle by head to head. No more ties possible, not even in the 5 way cases.]
BCS Evolution -- Punctuating the Equilibrium - twitter
by utesfan100 on Feb 9, 2010 12:03 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
exactly… there needs to be a legitimate conference champion, this would be BCSesque, sorry, it sounded intriguing ate first but It is too confusing to be practical.
by QuackinAK on Feb 9, 2010 2:44 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I am not sure of your objection?
Currently the PAC 10 awards co-champions to all tied teams. How is that ligitamate?
Tie breakers rarely get past head to head for conference championship games. This is only BCSesque in years like the 2008 Big 12 South, which is a rarity in all confernces with two divions of six.
The fact that the wording is tricky is exactly why I am wanting to make an explicit schedule implementing these design ideas to demonstrate it visually in a contextual manner.
And I have been studying the BCS, so the influence of their methodologies may be unavoidable ;) The fact is that to be robust a specification must be complicated.
BCS Evolution -- Punctuating the Equilibrium - twitter
by utesfan100 on Feb 9, 2010 5:01 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Politics?
I’m a Big Ten guy that’s written a lot about that conference’s expansion plans, but I delved into the Pac-10 situation a bit in this post a couple of weeks:
Colorado and Utah are really the only somewhat viable options for the Pac-10, but the unanimous vote requirement for expansion is going to be an extremely tough hurdle. Remember that Texas couldn’t get a unanimous vote from the Pac-10 or else the Longhorns would be there now, Penn State didn’t get a unanimous vote from all of the Big Ten members, and Miami didn’t get a unanimous vote from all of the ACC members. Those are all massive national name brand power schools with huge markets and fan bases – effectively all no-brainers – yet they couldn’t get voted in unanimously. So, take that into account when considering what it would take to get the Pac-10 to add a member just from a voting perspective.
That being said, the Pac-10 is probably the most vulnerable of any conference if the MWC gets a BCS auto-bid or the BCS system ever implodes – the Big Ten and SEC will continue to rake in dollars no matter what and only the Big 12 has any direct competition with the MWC in its home region. Leading the charge from the federal government’s perspective happens to be Senator Orrin Hatch from the State of Utah. How quickly would Sen. Hatch all of the sudden STFU about the BCS system if the University of Utah became a Pac-10 school?
The Pac-10 adding Colorado and Utah probably doesn’t make sense in terms of revenue assuming that we continue with today’s BCS system (or some close variation of it like a plus-one). However, maintaining that BCS system itself (or at least squashing any hopes of the MWC to become a BCS conference) in the long-term would likely be extremely important to the Pac-10. If adding Utah happens to preserve today’s system, then that alleviates a lot of long-term fears for the Pac-10.
by Frank the Tank on Feb 9, 2010 11:30 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
Money trumps everything
The Pac-10 presidents are tired of making about 1/10 the amount the SEC is making on its television packages. For two decades, they’ve stuck their noses up in the air and said they don’t need all that money, that they’re doing just fine, thank you very much. Well, they’re not doing just fine, and they now know it.
I honestly don’t think they’ll have a tough time getting unanimous agreement, as long as it’s Utah/Colorado and the potential financial rewards are superlative.
by Jeff Nusser on Feb 9, 2010 12:02 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I agree about the MW BCS
That is what I pointed to in my post above. If the MW becomes a BCS conference while adding Boise State and possibly two more such as Nevada, Houston, or Fresno State, it would greatly hurt the Pac-10. That is why I think expansion very well include Utah and maybe BYU to cut the head off of the Mountain west. Just taking Utah may do that, but not as effectively. I know BYU brings a lot of baggage though so I’m not sure how well they would get votes. I do really hope they stick to one state though. I would like to see Colorado and CSU really, but that would take some sort of fall of the Big 12.
by selahcoug on Feb 9, 2010 12:04 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Adding Utah/Colorado
Is about the same as having UW/WSU. Sure, they’re not from the same state, but in terms of travel? Pretty much the same.
by Jeff Nusser on Feb 9, 2010 12:13 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
True
but do they really have a natural rivalry? That is what I was really getting at.
by selahcoug on Feb 9, 2010 12:42 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Kinda. Utah and Colorado have played each other 57 times, but not since 1962.
They also have a two game series scheduled in 2012 & 2013.
But way back when, Utah and Colorado were in the same conference. From 1910 until 1948, the two schools were in the same conference. Back then, the game basically decided the conference championship. After 1948, Colorado left to join what would eventually become the Big 8, but the two schools continued the series going because they still considered each other rivals.
Obviously that has died off, but I bet with a little coaxing, the two schools could be rivals again.
by Ute in DC on Feb 9, 2010 1:08 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I don't doubt that they would create or renew a rivalry
if they were added to the same conference, but that would still not be their main rivals. Colorado would continue to play CSU every year and I bet Utah would keep playing BYU every year.
I realize these are the best options for expansion, I just don’t like losing that uniqueness of having the in state rival pairs.
by selahcoug on Feb 9, 2010 1:22 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
CU fans
might point to Nebraska as their #1 rival.
BCS Evolution -- Punctuating the Equilibrium - twitter
by utesfan100 on Feb 9, 2010 4:47 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Orrin Hatch is graduate of BYU undergrad.
Most people don’t realize that he actually first started crusading against the BCS in 2001 when BYU started out 12–0, but was still told by the BCS that there was no chance of them playing in a BCS game. (They subsequently proved the BCS right by being blown out by Hawaii).
Anyway, Senator Hatch is not going to “STFU about the BCS system” just because the Pac-10 takes Utah.
by Ute in DC on Feb 9, 2010 1:00 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Question.
What about Rice? I understand they suck in football currently, but they’re in a Top 10 media market in Houston, have great academics, and have a great baseball team. It’s probably a stretch, because they’d be the team that geographically didn’t really fit, but by all other accounts, it seems to be a fit.
I’m just throwin’ names out. Not saying Rice should definitely be included in any potential Pac 10 expansion.
by playerkyle14 on Feb 9, 2010 11:53 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
Pac-10 could keep 9-game conference schedule, BTW
In 2 divisions without any protected cross-division rivals, each school would play all of the other schools in the other division 4 years on/2 years off.
You could also have 2 protected cross-division rivals for each school, where those protected rivals play annually and the rest of the cross-division schools play 2 years on/2 years off. This would work best if you put USC/UCLA in one division and Cal/Stanford in the other so that will allow all 4 of those schools to continue to play each other annually (which might very well be a condition those schools will insist upon before agreeing to any type of expansion).
by Frank the Tank on Feb 9, 2010 12:02 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
I think you'd definitely have to have a system where the regional rivals played every year
by Jeff Nusser on Feb 9, 2010 12:03 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
The biggest problem I have
with expansion is the risk of not being in LA every year, and to a lesser extent, the Bay area. 90% of the recruits come from there, and I’m afraid if the NW schools don’t get that consistent exposure you could lose out on kids. I think that’s a problem with the Big12 North division. They don’t get as much exposure in Texas, and they’ve been left behind. Well that, and the fact that Mizzou, Kansas, Kstate, and Iowa State all traditionally suck at football.
by Linoleum Knife on Feb 9, 2010 12:43 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I think it would be a lot easier for the Pac-10 to manage that than the Big 12
I mean, you could make sure you always play one of the schools from each pair every year. That wouldn’t be hard.
by Jeff Nusser on Feb 9, 2010 1:53 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
True, but my point is that currently, we are guaranteed a trip to LA every year, and also, a home game against an LA team every year. There are practically more people in the LA market then the rest of the Pac10 states combined, and the majority of the top recruits come from there as well. If you lose out on the exposure from that, you could run the risk of being left behind. And it’s hard enough to recruit against SC and UCLA as it is. Most of these kids grow up rooting for the Trojans (especially over the last 10 years as they’ve been so dominant) or UCLA, I think it’s hard to pry alot of these guys away from “their” team. Being able to recruit LA is what made Washington so good under Don James, and it’s the key to any of the other schools trying to be successful for more then a flash in the pan season
by Linoleum Knife on Feb 9, 2010 2:17 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I dunno
I think it’s more important to simply be on TV in that area than anything else. It’s not like most of these recruits are coming to the game. But you’re right – exposure is important.
by Jeff Nusser on Feb 9, 2010 2:59 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
But if you have an LA game, that’s almost guaranteed to be on TV in LA. Very rarely would there be a random WSU or Oregon game on in the LA market without a head to head match up
by Linoleum Knife on Feb 9, 2010 3:52 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
With a better contract
That might not be true. And honestly, we aren’t beating USC and UCLA for guys. Recruits are going to know we’re in the Pac 10/12, and if they want to be in the conference and want to watch us play they will be able to find us on TV with a better contract. That’s a win for recruiting.
by 02Coug on Feb 9, 2010 4:06 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Good article about it
http://bleacherreport.com/articles/342268-rumor-utah-and-colorado-to-the-pac-12
Mentions many of the things we have all stated here.
by selahcoug on Feb 9, 2010 1:16 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
any chance they would "expand for the future"?
If market-size was a big pull, what would the possibilities be of branching into the Sacramento and San Diego DMAs? Sac is the 20th largest DMA, SD is 28th. Compare this to Denver at 16 and SLC at 31… Travel would be easier for current Pac-10 schools. Current sports status – obviously Utah and Colorado would have a superior advantage, but it didn’t take UA and ASU long to compete, so maybe an established educational institution could work into the spot pretty quickly with the upgraded conference merit.
My two guesses if these two markets were to be tapped into would be: UC Davis (Sacramento) and San Diego State (San Diego)…? The other question, is are these markets already being fully monitized with current Pac-10 coverage. If so, it would not make much sense. Just food for thought.
by LeaveItToWeaver on Feb 9, 2010 2:46 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
I don't see that
When we added AU and ASU it was an entirely different media landscape. Adding schools without name recognition in sports, even if they met the academic side of the conference, would get murdered by blogs, sports writers, espn commentators, and anyone else with a venue. I think adding a school like UC Davis would be dead on arrival, as it would just get beaten down everyones throat that it weakens our athletics and the teams would likely struggle out of the gate, making that argument seem valid for the first year or two of news cycles. By the time that the schools had risen to our level of play, public opinion would put us as a second tier conference and the reason for the expansion (money from TV) would be moot.
by 02Coug on Feb 9, 2010 4:11 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
We're already broadcast in those markets
We add zero dollars to the pool and divide it two more ways. The pie didn’t get any bigger, but your slice did.
by TiltingRight on Feb 9, 2010 4:23 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Your slice gets smaller is what you were going for I think
by cougfan on Feb 9, 2010 4:43 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
right you are.
glad you saw what I was TRYING to say there.
by TiltingRight on Feb 9, 2010 4:50 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I hope it happens
Football should go to 12 and basketball to 14 with St. Maries and Gonzaga.
Finally someone else is sick of being worse in most sports than other confrences.
SHAKE THINGS UP BABY
by bryanablair on Feb 9, 2010 2:58 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Yes, because Pac-10 basketball has been so historically terrible that it should add four more teams
by Jeff Nusser on Feb 9, 2010 3:00 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Football's pretty bad too. They should take away our auto bid.
by thecassino on Feb 9, 2010 3:26 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
It's not like we have more national titles then any other conference
Oh wait, we do. That’s why we call it the conference of champions.
by 02Coug on Feb 9, 2010 4:08 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
CU turned down the Pacten in the 90's? right?
I’m for expansion, year by year the Pacten is slipping in standing nationally and contributing to this is the lack of a conference championship game in DEC to help boost the two best teams.
I would love to get BYU/UTAH or CU/CSU into the conference. I doubt they will come along. I think we in the pacten have too high opinion of the league. Honestly, of the bigger west of the Mississppi programs, I think we are more likely to get say UNLV/Nevada or BoiseSU/UNLV to want to play/risk and improve their national position. I think that is why Walnut Creek hasn’t pushed this hard in the past, it is embarrassing when the teams we want don’t want out the cush/comfrotable conference they are in, thereby giving us only second tier options and the commissioners know this.
by MTcoug on Feb 9, 2010 4:12 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
It's just about timing
We are as guilty of spurning good options as being spurned. Texas was interested in joining the conference, but Pac 10 requires unaminous votes and they were unable to achieve that.
If other conferences start seeing teams jump ship (i.e. Big XII) then it might make sense for a Colorado to join us, or a CSU. With Utah, as they face the simple reality that they will an undefeated season won’t get them a shot at a national title out of their current conference, they may want to seriously consider a bigger conference.
by 02Coug on Feb 9, 2010 4:23 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
To insinuate that a team not in a BCS conference wouldn't jump at the chance to get into a BCS conference is absurd
As 02Coug correctly points out, it is all about timing. What does the Pac-10 have to offer Colorado that it didn’t back then? Perhaps a revenue deal that exceeds what it can get in the Big 12? Money talks, and if the Pac-10 wants to take a team from another BCS conference, that’s what it’s going to take.
by Jeff Nusser on Feb 9, 2010 4:27 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Just Restructure College Football Altogether
A little far fetched, and never going to happen, but…
Split up the Big East and Big 12, other conferences keep current members, and add some of the better non-BCS schools. Might look like this:
Pac- Colorado, Utah, BYU, Hawaii, TTech, Texas, Boise St, Nebraska
SEC-S Fla, SMU, TCU, A&M, OK, OKSt
ACC-UConn, Rutgers, Syracuse, WV, Louisville, Pitt
Big Tweleven-Iowa St, Mizzou, Notre Dame, Cincinatti, Kansas, K State, Baylor
18 team superconferences, two divisions of 9. Champions of each division play in conference championship. Four conference winners play in 4 team playoff to determine a true national champion. Problem solved.
by StraightOuttaPullman on Feb 10, 2010 5:15 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
TV Markets
It’s all about money. TV revenue. Adding Utah/BYU would add only one TV market. And a small one at that. Salt Lake is only the 31st largest TV market. They’ve talked about Utah/Colorado adding the #16 Denver market but I don’t think Colorado will move. My pick would be TCU/Houston. This adds the #5 Dallas and #10 Houston markets. It opens up Texas to more Pac 12 recruiting. And these schools would have better cred by being in the Pac 12. Pac (as in Pack of Wolves and get rid of the Pacific reference) 12.
Souhwest Division:
USC, UCLA, ASU, UofA, TCU, Houston
Northwest:
Cal, Stanford, Wash, Wash St, Oregon, Oregon St
Play the Pac 12 conference championship at the Neutral site of San Diego Qualcom. Great weather, easy Southwest Air flights.
by Trojan Conquest on Feb 12, 2010 4:30 PM PST reply actions 0 recs

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