First off, from how it sounds, the majority of people are assuming we can land Mike Leach or the equivalent. I personally see that as a VERY long shot, with how many coaching vacancies have opened up in the last couple days. Trying not to be a Debbie-Downer, but I don't see Leach, Bellotti, or Sumlin coming to Pullman. Often, available coaches are targeted based on their familiarity with certain conferences or geographical areas. We are currently the 3rd most attractive job in the Pac-12 (fourth if Arizona hadn't hired yet).
But regardless, I'm looking at it from a slightly different perspective. Paul Wulff is making 600,000 per year.
Mike Leach's last contract was 2.54 million per year. With about 5 or 6 other teams potentially targeting him - I think it's safe to say his new salary will be hovering near 3 million per year.
Now if Wulff stays, everyone knows he's not in a position to try and negotiate a higher salary and I don't think he would even try (if he really wanted to keep coaching here!). So let's say Moos gives him a 2 year extension at the same rate 600k. That's 1.2 million added on and we have him for 3 years (1 year left on current contract).
So, if we keep Wulff, give him the customary "vote of confidence" extension to keep recruiting in check - we save nearly 2 1/2 million this year. If he doesn't get to a bowl game, we can him at the end of the season and pay off his 1.2 million of remaining salary (maybe less if Moos works some magic in negotiations). In this situation we still end up saving 1.2 million for next year and we enter the coaching search the following season when the supply and demand might be swung more in our favor.
Outside of Tedford, I don't see anybody in the Pac that will be on the hot seat after next year (maybe Embree, but I don't see that either). The new TV contract is also alive and in action so our team will be more visible nationwide, and hopefully at least a few candidates will have seen our team a little on ESPN and/or Fox. In addition, our stadium remodel is ready to go and we have a physical building to showcase to potential coaches. With all those things in mind and crunching the salary figures, I say keep Wulff for another year.
If indeed we can get Sumlin or to a lesser extent Leach, then I understand why Moos would be looking to go ahead and make a move, but if those guys are out of the picture - why not stay the course for one more year and save money in the process? If our pool ends up being retreads (ala - Erickson, Price, Edsall, etc.) or hot prospect assistants (Alabama OC), those same type of guys will be there for the taking every year.