FanPost

Basing the rest of the schedule on Sagarin's predictor

Was looking at the Sagarin rankings to see how bad our schedule has been thus far (VERY), but he does have a prediction system based on how teams have handled their opponents (margin of victory), taking into how awful the matchups have been into account.   I wanted to take a look at how Sagarin thinks we'll finish based on the small sample size, because I want all the validation this is a bowl team i can get.




For reference:

http://www.usatoday.com/sports/sagarin/fbt11.htm

Each team's predictor score in the Pac12 thus far.

Oregon 90.7

Stanford 90.3

USC 80.1

Utah 80.1

Cal 78.8

ASU 78.5

Arizona 76.7

WSU 73.3

UW 71.5

UCLA 70.0

Colorado 67.5

OSU 66.1

(SDSU is 68.9)

The instructions say to give the home team 3 more points, so here's how our schedule breaks down

We should beat SDSU, Colorado and Oregon St.

We should lose to Oregon, Stanford, Cal, ASU and Utah

UW and UCLA are coinflips.

5 wins, 5 losses and two coinflips:  So I guess this is a fancy way of predicting exactly what we've been guessing remedially all summer.

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