With all of the talk about who should be playing QB for the Cougs, we've seen a lot of stats. Interception rates, sack rates, and yards by all sorts of metrics. All of this left me wishing for something absolute that we can look at and settle the debate once and for all. And finally it hit me:
Fantasy stats.
I few guidelines: I took the standard ESPN fantasy scoring, found here. All stats were taken from ESPN.com. Due to the dumb sack rules, I'm just going to leave rushing out as well, unless there's a TD. So anyways I calculated the points each QB had per week. Then I ranked the defenses based on fantasy points per game 1-6, with 6 being the best defense. Now take the QB's points and multiply it by the defensive ranking. Then take that number and divide it by the number of quarters played. This leaves you with an adjusted fantasy points per quarter. It's known around my apartment as the Jason Statistic. You stats majors have most likely heard of it.
| PASSING |
|
Standard scoring: |
Fumble Lost = -2 pts
| RUSHING |
| Standard scoring: · TD Rush = 6pts · Every 10 rushing yards = 1pt · 2pt Rushing Conversion = 2pts |
So without further ado:
WSU @ BYU
Tuel:
| DATE | OPP | RESULT | CMP | ATT | YDS | CMP% | LNG | TD | INT | RAT | ATT | YDS | AVG | LNG | TD |
| 8/30 | @Brigham Young | L 30-6 | 30 | 45 | 229 | 66.7 | 26 | 0 | 2 | 100.5 |
Math: 9*1-2*2=5 points. Hope no one started him that week.
Defense: 6
Total Points: Tuel: 30 points in 4 quarters, 7.5 ppq
Running total: Tuel: 7.5 ppq
Halliday: N/A ppq
EWU @ WSU
Tuel:
| 20 | 26 | 171 | 76.9 | 28 | 2 |
|
Halliday:
| 5 | 11 | 76 | 45.5 | 36 | 0 | 1 |
Total points:
Tuel: 6+8 = 14 points
Halliday: 3-2= 1 point
Defense: 3
Adjusted points:
Tuel: 14*3 = 42 points in 3 quarters,
Halliday: 1*3 = 3 points in 1 quarter.
Running total:
Tuel: 72 points in 7 quarters
Halliday: 3 points in 1 quarter
WSU @ UNLV
Halliday:
| 26 | 45 | 378 | 57.8 | 81 | 4 |
2 |
Math: 15+16-4=27
Defense: 1
Adjusted points:
Halliday: 27 points in 4 quarters
Running Totals
Tuel: 72 points in 7 quarters
Halliday: 30 points in 5 quarters
CU @ WSU
Halliday:
| 32 | 60 | 401 | 53.3 | 49 | 4 | 2 |
Math: 16+16-4=28 points
Defense: 2
Adjusted points:
Halliday: 28*2=56 points
Running Totals
Tuel: 72 points in 7 quarters
Halliday: 86 points in 9 quarters
UO @ WSU
Tuel:
| 4 | 4 | 62 | 100.0 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
Halliday:
|
33 |
60 | 348 | 55.0 | 33 | 1 | 1 |
Math:
Tuel: 2+4= 6 pts
Halliday: 13+4-2=15 pts
Defense: 5
Adjusted points:
Tuel: 30 points in .5 quarters
Halliday: 75 points in 3.5 quarters
Running Totals
Tuel: 102 points in 7.5 quarters
Halliday: 161 in 12.5 quarters
WSU @ OSU
Tuel:
| 11 | 17 | 126 | 64.7 | 51 | 0 | 1 |
Halliday:
| 9 | 20 | 81 | 45.0 | 49 | 0 | 3 |
Math:
Tuel: 5-2=3 pts
Halliday: 3-6=-3 pts
Defense: 4
Adjusted points:
Tuel: 12 points
Halliday: -3 points (won't be adjusted because of negative)
Running Total:
Tuel: 114 points in 9.5 quarters
Halliday: 158 in 14.5 quarters
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FINAL ANALYSIS
Tuel: 114 points in 9.5 quarters = 12 adjusted points per quarter
Halliday: 158 in 14.5 quarters = 10.9 adjusted points per quarter
Dang. That wasn't nearly as decisive as I'd hoped. And I really can't think of a more reliable metric than this one either. Oh well.
Couple of notes: I didn't factor in the defense for Halliday's game against OSU because he was already negative and multiplication would make it more negative which didn't feel right. Also, UNLV's defense has actually averaged negative points this year, so I almost threw them out entirely but I didn't. And regarding EWU's defense, I couldn't really find a good way to do some sort of statistical analysis, so I just threw them ahead of CU and UNLV which seems pretty fair.


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