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Pac-12 Football odds and picks: The Gamble-Tron, Week 11

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Welcome back. Man, that sure was some drama on Tuesday night wasn’t it? The heavy favorite started off horribly, and it looked to everyone as if the underdog might pull the upset. Slowly, the gap closed. In the end, the favorite won going away. Of course, I’m talking about Western Michigan. What else happened Tuesday?

Before we get to another disastrous week, we would be remiss if we didn’t wish someone a happy birthday. The United States Marine Corps celebrates its 241st on Thursday. That’s nearly two-and-a-half centuries of brave Marines who run toward the sound of gunfire while everyone else runs away. So go out and hug a Marine today.

With that, let the bloodletting begin.

Why I’m a genius: Won 60 percent of the Pac-12 games again! That Thursday night game was a complete dreck fest. Colorado looked really bad and UCLA managed to look even worse, but still covered! Just when people thought Oregon might not be terrible, turns out they’re still terrible. Then of course, there’s Washington. Clearly the class of the Pac-12, they let Cal hang around for a bit, then hit the gas never stopped.

Why I’m an idiot: It’s not that I picked more losers than winners. No, I also had to bet more on the eventual losers, while betting the minimum on my winners. The only Pac-12 game I bet more than normal on was Stanford, so of course they couldn’t cover, at home, against OSU. The Cougs didn’t help me either. I take Arizona +61.5, so of course WSU decides to run up the score and win by 62. So. Damn. Close.

Then there’s the non-Pac-12 games. I have no idea what my winning percentage is outside the conference, but if I had to guess, it’s less than 20 percent. Last week was another 0-3 turd sandwich. Florida State needs a rally to beat a team that lost to BC the previous week. Boise State looks worse by the week, and Central Michigan couldn’t even beat a bad team as the favorite. Just garbage all around. Let’s do it again, shall we?

Last week: 3-5

Season Total: 34-48-1 (my god, just brutal)

Indebtedness: -$2670

Reader Results:

  • stewak: 2-3 / -$130
  • Dr.Coug-A-Lot: 5-0 / $1072
  • MileHighPharmer: 3-3 (damn Corncobbers) / -$30
  • Ryan Eames: 2-3 / -$130
  • cmaddex: 2-3 / -$260
  • hollyweirdcoug: 3-5 / -$160
  • DenverCoug: 4-4 / $60
  • BothwaysUphill: 1-4 / -$340
  • cougman the II: 6-4 / $160
  • wsu4life: 2-2 / -$20

Utah (-5.5/-110) at ASU (+5.5/-110): Looking like Manny Wilkins is going to start against Utah. WSU fans are well aware that ASU is a different team at home. The Sun Devils can absolutely win this game, especially if Graham’s sign-stealing command center worked on its tactics during the bye week.

The Pick: $110 on ASU

Stanford (-3/-115) at Oregon (+3/-105): Remember when this was the premier game in the conference, with Pac-12 North supremacy on the line? Now it’s the early game on Pac-12 Nets. How the mighty have fallen. Stanford didn’t throw a pass in the fourth quarter last week. The only way they win this week is if they don’t let the quarterbacks pass at all. David Shaw, make this happen.

The Pick: $115 on Stanford

USC (+9/-110) at Washington (-9/-110): Possibly the best national matchup on a light weekend. I guess that’s why College Gameday is going to be there. Washington is clearly the best team in the Pac-12, while USC may be the hottest, along with our team. This will be Washington’s biggest test, mostly because USC has far more skill talent than Utah. Washington wins, but I smell a backdoor cover.

The Pick: $110 on USC

Oregon State (+12/-110) at UCLA (-12/-110): UCLA returns home, coming off a hideous performance in Boulder. OSU flies back to California for the second week in a row. Back-to-back road games are hard, especially when you are a bad road team. UCLA is desperate, and the fake tough guys will bow up and play like it.

The Pick: $220 on UCLA

Colorado (-15.5/-110) at Arizona (+15.5/-110): Two programs on different trajectories facing off in Tucson. Colorado is a couple wins from the Pac-12 title game. Meanwhile, Arizona has hit rock bottom, both literally and figuratively. Still, I can’t pass up a home team getting over two touchdowns. God I’m gonna get destroyed.

The Pick: Bear Down for $110

Cal (+14.5/-110) at WSU (-14.5/-110): Gonna be lots of points scored on the Palouse Saturday night. How many? Well, probably not, oh, I don’t know, 119. But still, tons of points. WSU has probably had the better team the last two years, yet lost to Cal both times. WSU has the better team this year, too. Cal will be the best offense they’ve faced in quite a while, which is why I’m grabbing those points. This game is gonna come down to the end.

The Pick: $110 on Cal

Vanderbilt (+3.5/-105) at Missouri (-3.5/-115): I don’t know alot about either of these teams, other than the fact that they’re lousy. Ok, I know that Missouri isn’t lousy. They’re straight up awful. I’ll take the points...right to debtor’s prison.

The Pick: $105 on Vanderbilt